A Weblog of Centrist Voices in American Politics
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A Weblog of Centrist Voices in American Politics | |
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March 05, 2008let's see, there's the hook and lateral...Let's see, there's the hook and lateral, the fumblerooski, the shuttle pass, the statue of liberty, the double reverse, the halfback option... Jason over at Donklephant has a GREAT round-up of the In the aftermath of her long-expected victories in Texas and Ohio, many of Hillary Clinton’s supporters are reveling in long-awaited cheering sessions and drawing convoluted scenarios for her nomination. Unfortunately for them, however, Clinton remains behind the eight-ball on the only metric that matters — delegate count. And she can’t beat math. There are few opportunities available for Clinton to make up the 100-vote lead that Obama holds among elected delegates. Read it all. Jason covers it well. The only thing he doesn't really cover is the unknown surrounding how much Hillary's new momentum could affect things. If she gets closer in delegates via sustained momentum and Obama limps into the convention, the superdelegate split could be a bigger wild card than Jason forecasts. Posted by Kranky Kritter at March 5, 2008 01:06 PMComments
Jason's right, of course, as I see it. I thought Hillary would have to get at least a 50-delegate advantage out of yesterday's business to have a chance, and today's Statesman gave her a 20-delegate improvement. Texas yielded only a fractional advantage, Even in Ohio she had only a 12% advantage.
The superdelegate takeaway seems unlikely to me unless Obama loses EVERY state from now on, very unlikely, as I see it, both by simple odds and by looking at the map and seeing that there are plenty of states left in regions Obama's prospered in. I'm working on a caucus-blog. It was a blast. Dems have really screwed up their nomination process. Looks like Dean etc. have screwed up Better believe the adults better take over Besides, this ridiculous new process wastes "hundreds of million dollars" which could have been better spent creating cos., some good jobs, making products, citizs. health care, etc.
We don't want toads or amoebas nominating a Pres. candidate. "We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal." You might've read that one. When you were young, your generation lead the way at extending those notions broadly, as is only proper. this ridiculous new process wastes "hundreds of million dollars" The way I look at it, our economy makes over $10 trillion a year. $1-2B to figure out who's gonna run it seems like a bargain to me. |
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