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February 23, 2008

Bullish on 2008, and on McCain

As I've said a few times before, I'm more than cautiously pleased at the caliber of the remaining candidates. Jonathan Rauch sounds downright bullish, especially on John McCain.

On the 3 folks left, hyperbolic:

This year's primary season has been so full of healthy developments that you could package it with oat bran and hawk it at Whole Foods. The country can thank its lucky stars that the process has pushed forward—in McCain and in Democratic Sens. Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama—the three most formidable figures in American politics. If Obama wins the Democratic nomination, the result will pit the two most widely admired political figures of their generations against each other in a presidential race. The last time the country saw anything remotely like that was when Dwight Eisenhower faced Adlai Stevenson in 1952 and 1956.

And on Dear Johnny, Rauch is downright effusive:

Most Republicans understand that their loss of credibility on spending restraint and fiscal responsibility has damaged the Republican brand. Wise Republicans understand, further, that supply-side dogmatism has become part of the problem. The supply-side movement made sense when the top tax rate was 70 percent, taxes rose with inflation, and tax cuts were only one part of a program that also included deregulation and lower spending. It stopped making sense when Bush-era Republicanism turned it into an obsession, fixated on the idea that if you just cut taxes and then cut them some more, lower spending, smaller government, and shrinking deficits will follow.

McCain has a long record of vocal opposition to pork-barrel spending and congressional earmarks; he makes a point of calling for entitlement reform; and he is not a supply-sider, having voted against both of Bush's biggest tax cuts. Supply-siders hate that, and it's true that he has now rallied to them with expensive and unpaid-for promises to extend the Bush tax cuts and abolish the alternative minimum tax. Still, McCain's heart belongs not to the supply-side absolutism of the Bush era but to the tightfisted rectitude of the Eisenhower era. If anyone has a shot at restoring Republican fiscal credibility, it is McCain.

...

So McCain offers Republicans hope of a revitalized center, a connection to independents, a productive presidency, improved fiscal credibility, improved moral credibility, a restored constitutional balance, a firm instead of flimsy war on jihadism, and a way forward on immigration. You have to look back to Reagan to find such a serendipitous match between the man and the moment.

C'mon now, be sure to transport through that hyperlink up there above the excerpts and read it all. You'll be glad you did. I'm not swooning like the almost schoolgirlish Rauch, but he makes a good case.

Posted by Kranky Kritter at February 23, 2008 11:23 PM
Comments

The problem with McCain, as I have noted before, is that he's following a lot of the same things we've had to live with for the past 7 long, very long, years. He still voted with the pork barrel spenders, he still supports torture as an option and ignores more than 100 years of American history dating back to the war in the Phillippines, he now supports the tax cuts that have doubled the national debt, he's voted for the military policy that basically leaves this country more vulnerable to a major disaster or war, he's for the same deregulation that gave us the very expensive S&L problems in the past and the current fiscal meltdown of the present, and finally, for all his talk, McCain is tightly wound with lobbyists, with Washington insiders so to speak. Obama, or Hillary, can hang that on him and make it stick, especially given the recent news.
One major factor that McCain will have to contend with is an energized youth vote, especially if Obama continues to be the front runner and the eventual candidate for the democratic party.
You can't ignore the large imbalance between the party votes in each primary.
I think the final problem for McCain is that the extremes of the GOP, both economic and religious, are so used to having things go their way that they won't repeat the past intensity in campaigning for the GOP nominee. Unless Hillary pulls out a win.

Posted by: Marcus at February 24, 2008 02:38 AM

Yeah ... and there's an underlying problem with all of these people. The institutional and cultural growth of the left and right movements, which are now a constant pressure-point for every candidate. Yes, we've always had that pressure in our system, but we're coming off the Bush/Clinton years, when the passion grew along with the Iraq issue and the impeachment question.

On the one hand, I share Rauch's belief that these are three of the better candidates in the field (the fourth one who would have made sense would be Joe Biden, in my opinion). But I also fear my vote, in this case. I'm dying to see what John McCain will do as president, while also knowing that the coalitions he will cobble together include people who view the world very differently from me. I'm not exactly dying to see what Hillary or Obama will do, but I have some hope for either of them.

I guess my gut is telling me to vote for McCain. He has more of a willingness to tell people to "go to hell" and just do what he thinks is right than the rest of these folks.

Posted by: William Swann at February 24, 2008 03:40 PM

I'm in sort of the same boat as you Will, except that I'm more undecided, Over at sf in the comments, I covered how I'll basically be supportive of either guy should they be elected (assuming Clinton loses the dem primary), up to and until either one of them fulfills one of my short list of "worst fears" which are specific to each guy.

Posted by: kritter at February 24, 2008 06:16 PM

I feel like Rove tore McCain's heart out in 2000. Not to be overdramatic or anything, but I kept feeling "this man's changed" every time I saw him on TV.

Unlike 2000, he isn't grumbling about problems and trying to come up with innovative ideas to fix them. I'm afraid in 2008 he reminds me of Dole's campaign, in which the new ideas were cutting taxes to raise revenue, which had already failed for 20 years in our economy.

To me, he deserves a lotta respect for having worked hard and well to serve his country thoughtfully for decades, but not being voted for in this cycle.

Posted by: Jon Kay at February 24, 2008 10:31 PM
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