A Weblog of Centrist Voices in American Politics
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A Weblog of Centrist Voices in American Politics | |
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January 12, 2008GOP Probably Losing The Latino Vote in '08This is something I'd already seen and commented on in a Stubborn Facts debate sitout thread that I can't seem to find again. I noted that Clinton's hubby put together a winning voter coalition without appearing on Fox, but Bush had very much reached out to Latinos in all his victories, and won because of them. PBS had a NOW show today on the likely GOP Latino loss. They had on former Bush voters, who pointed out that calling their cultural brothers a major threat to the nation wasn't a good way to win their vote. That, of course, is what major GOP candidates have been doing on immigration. The show also had a quote to the effect that Latino voter registration is trending much more Democratic than eight years ago, Despite Latino cultural conservatism. Of course, we Dems can't take them for granted, either. But paying attention to Latinos is more of a (D) norm. Bush rightfully pointed out back well before the '00 election that no party can have a winning coalition, either nationwide or in southern border states anymore without at least some Latinos, due to the increases in Latino population, and that's only going to grow more true. Posted by Jon Kay at January 12, 2008 02:25 AMComments
Essentially, the GOP is repeating on a national scale the mistake that they made in California more than a decade ago: demonize Hispanics, and then be beautifully positioned to lose elections for a generation. Posted by: wj at January 12, 2008 07:56 PMTerrible for Dem, eh? Bwahaha... Posted by: Jon Kay at January 13, 2008 03:16 AMI don't think it's very fair to characterize the GOP as "demonizing" Latinos, Some of their fringier folks are doing that, and it may well drag down the whole party. But I think it's completely legitimate to attempt to make our nation's immigration policy more coherent and to encourage immigrants to follow a documented legal path. If democrats try to "canonize" immigrants, that'll come at a price for them. Because people who generally play by the rules have a deep antipathy towards those who disdain the rules, and that's what illegal undocumented immigrants do. This resentment is wide, and it runs deep. Posted by: bk at January 13, 2008 11:36 AMMost immigrants who became citizens are strongly against amnesty and Dems pandering for illegals who disdain the rules. Yes, this resentment is wide and it runs deep. Hmm. I kinda doubt that MOST of them are, Certainly some are bound to be,and good for them, But my guess, and that's all it is, is that its a minority. Anyone out there seen any actual data on this? Posted by: bk at January 13, 2008 08:21 PM |
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