A Weblog of Centrist Voices in American Politics
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A Weblog of Centrist Voices in American Politics | |
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December 07, 2007Why The New Iranian Nuclear Halt Is Plausible To MeIf Iran was a simple dictatorship of President A., I'd be deeply dubious. But it's not. It's an oligarchy - its constitution has the same kind of division of powers as ours, except the power's differently and even more divided. No elected official (even by the wimpy standards of Iranian elections) is given all that much trust. That means alot of President A's rhetoric is exactly that. For example, even if he really is stupid enough to want to ignore MAD and launch missiles at Israel (fat chance), he'd have to convince a few other smart people as well (way not happenin'). In particular, it's known that there is a substantial body of powerful people in Iran who don't want Iran diplomatically isolated and/or facing sanctions. It's certainly possible that one or more of them is/are the decider on this issue. nc Yes, it is certainly possible that they've been misled by deliberate misinformation. Welcome to intelligence.... Speaking of intelligence, we had fun in the DC Spy Museum while we were there - it's great stuff. Posted by Jon Kay at December 7, 2007 01:14 AMComments
I'll leave the fallout to future posts, but Perhaps this brings some viewers up to speed. Of course the tpic of humor, is a joke in iteself. Iranian opposition misled? Naaww. The NIE supports the truth no matter the politics... As far as being the consensus of our IC, National INTELLIGENCE Estimate is a rather larger joke. Have fun, and I wonder if the spy museum has a section on the latest exploits by Russia, China and Iran. Now that would be intelligent, wouldn't it? Posted by: Maxtrue at December 7, 2007 12:52 PM;-) yes, it would. Some of the Russian bits went up up to talking about Putin, and there were bits on Iran before '90. But real current events. I guess it'd be alot harder to get good material.... |
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