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July 30, 2007

The Mac is Back!?!

I found myself giddy after reading this. I have been looking to support the John McCain of 2000, only to find a tired old pol propped up by a Karl Rove-like political campaign... you know, the kind that called him a traitor against his own country, and accused him of fathering a black child out of wedlock in South Carolina.

The media has been wrong all along about McCain. They said Kerry was dead in 2004, and Bob Dole was dead in 1996, and Clinton was dead in 1992, and Reagan was dead in 1980, etc., etc... and it was a broke enough to fly commercial, finally see the light, fire everybody in sight type of turn around that sparked their paths to the nomination. What is that Richard Nixon once said about not being able to see how truly magnificent it is on the highest mountain, until you have been in the lowest valley?

Furthermore, they are also wrong about the issues. It isn't the Iraq War that killed McCain. In fact, it probably helped with Republicans, and although general election voters probably disagree, I am willing to bet that most independents found McCain's stance courageous. I did.

This was about immigration, and if Bush had the poll numbers to make the party faithful hold their nose as they did with "No Child Left Behind" and the Medicare bill, it wouldn't have mattered. McCain's problem is that he has been doing his best to get in the good graces of a failed President since he lost South Carolina in 2000. Don't get me wrong, I support McCain-Kennedy, but the Senator was doing the President's bidding without the political capital to do so. His effort was a profile in courage, but the political landscape was wrong. It was the right position, at the wrong moment in history. However, there is time.

General Patreus may give McCain yet another chance to show unwavering support for the cause in September, and IMO this helps with the party base. McCain's best answers in the debates have been about men and women in uniform. He is going to get another shot at it in New Hampshire on September 17th, and I have a hunch the You Tube format actually helps McCain which is why he isn't ducking the challenge like Romney and Giuliani.

Furthermore, the Republican Party is lost. There is a reason that "none of the above" is leading in the polls." The average Republican is bored with its own leadership, which leaves McCain an opening to do what he does best by lecturing those in his own party. It is time he start talking about what is wrong with George W. Bush, and stop talking about where he agrees with him.

The difference between now and 2000 is that most Republicans agree with McCain that the party has lost its way, and they are longing for the small government, budget hawk, strong defense, free trade rhetoric of Ronald Reagan. Nobody produces that better then Barry Goldwater's predecessor.

There are no rose colored glasses here. It is a long shot, but a reasonable one. That been said, I am glad the Senator has gotten some spring back in his step, and at least there is a reason to watch with some interest.

Posted by Starbucks Republican at July 30, 2007 08:09 AM
Comments

Events "could" make a come back for McCain. First, he is the most credible defender of the Surge. Republicans are fooling themselves if they think Iraq will go away and they don't need to fight for more surge next month. McCain was blasting mistakes from the start and will likely be front and center in holding firm. Second, Reid may bring back immigration before the election and again, McCain has more credibility among Independents when it comes to immigration reform. This time he needs to re-frame his position and place benchmarks on enforcement and security first, then a qualified Amnesty. Do Republicans think they can shape a better deal once Hillary is President, or Obama? Last, I believe there is a chance we will be hit, or a major extremist move in the Middle East will happen before the primary. If this happens again, I think McCain is more credible than the other Republican candidates. It is a long shot, but possible given the weaknesses of the other candidates.

As far as Obama, I find his transformer/protector of illegals a weak strategy. If he continues moving right, he may not even make it onto a Hillary/Barak ticket. And Hillary will have zero credibility with Independents if she doesn't eventually take a swipe at ReidCO and PelosCo right after the primaries as they are likely to shut down the government before the election in a bid to stop us in Iraq.

Posted by: Maxtrue at July 30, 2007 05:06 PM

Alot of people have more energy and are better players when they're the underdogs and things are looking grim.....

Having to rethink things could help him.

Posted by: Jon Kay at July 31, 2007 11:05 PM

McCain is dead meat. The only way he can come back is if Giulliani and Romney totally melt down. Best thing is for him to become a vegetarian.

Posted by: Marcus at August 1, 2007 01:02 AM

As a long-time backer of McCain, I was very disappointed to see his campaign go into meltdown mode so early. But, at least it happened early, rather than right before the primary. He does have time to try to right the ship, but odds are very much stacked against him. This time, he's not the only moderate voice in the primary, nor is he fighting from the underdog position. This was the one-time presumptive nominee. My worry is that he and Giuliani split the moderate vote and leave the door open for Mitt Romney or Fred "I'm not really a good leader, but I play one on TV" Thompson.

Posted by: WeekendPundit at August 1, 2007 03:37 PM
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