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February 09, 2007

Let's Play Leap Frog

Florida Jockeying for Better Primary Slot

If the bill (HB 537) becomes law, Florida's primary - currently in March, when it's virtually irrelevant - would take place either seven days after New Hampshire's, or on Feb. 5, whichever comes first. New Hampshire has not set its date.

An identical bill has been filed in the Senate.

With states around the country, including California, jockeying for position to challenge the traditional dominance of the Iowa caucus and the New Hampshire primary, Florida legislators on both sides of the aisle don't want to be left behind. They believe a state as large and diverse as Florida should play a fundamental role in the nomination process.

NH First

A bill before the state Legislature is designed to cement the secretary of state's authority to schedule New Hampshire's first-in-the-nation presidential primary before the Nevada caucuses in 2008 - if he chooses.

State law requires Secretary of State Bill Gardner to schedule the primary on a Tuesday a week - or more - before any "similar election."

The "or more" part allows Gardner to jump as far ahead as he wishes, but in the past he has not challenged Iowa's caucuses, which have long been before the New Hampshire primary.

How about we just have every state hold its primary for the next Presidential election the day after the new President is inaugurated?

Posted by Kranky Kritter at February 9, 2007 12:07 PM
Comments

As far as I can see, the only argument for an earlier primary in any state (other than politicians egos, of course) is: "Voters are so like sheep that they will follow the pattern of whoever votes first. So we need to be first, or at least very early, so they will follow us rather than someone else." Otherwise, it would appear that there simply isn't that great a difference between having a large primary in February and having it in June.

Perhaps voters really are that herd-like in their behavior. But I have to wonder....

Posted by: wj at February 9, 2007 11:26 AM

Oh there's a far better one than that, based clearly on self-interest. What state doesn't want the next President to spend a lot of time in their state listening to their problems, understanding their views, and making promises to THEM while hordes of media and entourage spend lots of money in their state?

There's an "everything you need to know you learned in 1st grade" lesson here. If everyone wants something, and there isn;t enough to go around, you have to share.

Posted by: bk at February 9, 2007 11:37 AM

The difference between a February primary and a June primary is the number of candidates still in the running. Those who do poorly in the early primaries will have trouble raising funds to stay in the race. In Kansas the last two primaries have been cancelled because there was only one viable candidate remaining in each party by the time the primary would have come. If a state wants to give its voters a choice in selecting the party's nominee, the new reality is that the primary must be earlier to compete with all the other states that are making their primaries earlier.

I think this is an unfortunate development because it means candidates must start their fundraising earlier in order to prepare for the blitz of primaries. We are seeing the effects already.

Posted by: BruceA at February 9, 2007 11:58 AM
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