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November 17, 2005

Holy slumping approval ratings Batman!

Is Congress doing the job approval limbo?

The current batch of incumbent politician's approval has actually managed to plummet into the twenties. (Harris poll at WSJ )

House Speaker Dennis Hastert 22%
Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist 23%
Republicans in Congress 27%
Democrats in Congress 25%
Right direction 27%

Also Nixon was more popular at this point in his second term.
Bush Nov. 2005 34%
Nixon Nov. 1973 37%

You would almost think the American public was upset about something.

Posted by BobJYoung at November 17, 2005 12:48 PM
Comments

The Dems fell farther and come in lower. Heh. Sounds like Americans are getting sick of politicians.

I notice the Journal article has no demographics attached, without which the poll is meaningless.

Rasmussen's daily tracking poll has Bush steady at 43%. Sucky, but much higher than the other polls I've seen of late. Those in which I've been able to see the demographics indicate oversampling of Democrats (or udnersampling of Republicans, however you care to phrase it).

Posted by: Tully at November 17, 2005 03:52 PM

Polls can say whatever you want them to say. And, in many cases, they can say things that just aren't relevant. For example, putting Hastert and Frist in a national poll really says nothing. Hastert will be re-elected or turned out by the voters of his own district. First isn't even running for re-election, so I'm not sure what these numbers are supposed to prove.

The country is in a sour mood and it appears that very few are exempt right now.

Side note...I keep hearing these polls and they cite "the Administration's slow Katrina response, rising gas prices, etc." as the reason for Bush's low poll numbers. Could someone please send the media a note about current gas prices? I'm not sure about where everyone else lives, but I'm paying a full 70 cents less than I was in the week following Katrina. It just amazes me that they get away with continuously harping on a problem that no longer exists at present.

Posted by: AR at November 17, 2005 04:27 PM

$1.83/gallon this morning.

Posted by: Tully at November 17, 2005 05:00 PM

$1.83????? What heaven! Here in Baton Rouge, $2.39 is still a good price. Does Kansas not have much in the way of taxes stuck on gasoline, Tully?

Posted by: PatHMV at November 17, 2005 05:04 PM

There certainly seems to be something strange going on.
Although Iraq and the economy seem to be what people rate as the top national priority, the polls took a definite turn for the worse when the hurricanes hit and gas shot up. Those two items could just be the straw that broke the camels back.
http://www.pollingreport.com/

Maybe the Hurricanes just ripped the facade away. Americans like to be in control, or at the very least like to have the appearance that the government has everything under control. Iraq, hurricanes and gas prices may have just scared the {expletive deleted} out of everyone.

Posted by: Bob J Young at November 17, 2005 06:13 PM

18.4 cents a gallon federal, 21.3 cents a gallon state. But we have refineries and oil wells and no smog problem at all, so no "special" blends are needed and there's no real transportation cost.

If I wanted REALLY cheap gas, I'd drive down to the "out of the country" reservation stations of the Civilized Nations in Oklahoma. But by the time I drove there and back I'd have burned up my savings.

Posted by: Tully at November 17, 2005 06:28 PM

Lowest approval ratings during office:

Truman, 22%. Eisenhower, 48%. Kennedy, 58%. Johnson, 35%. Nixon, 23%. Ford, 37%. Carter, 28%. Reagan, 35%. GHW Bush, 29%. Clinton, 36%. GW Bush, 35%.

Well, he's no Truman.

Posted by: Tully at November 17, 2005 07:20 PM

Nice polling archive I will have to add them to my list.

But why was Gallup's data used for every president except for Clinton and W?
Using Gallup's data on pollingreport.com Clinton's lowest Job approval was 53% while W's is 37%.

And I didn't see any demographic data or a break down of what exact question was asked.
I would be very interesting to see what how the question evolved from Roosevelt to W.

Posted by: Bob J Young at November 17, 2005 07:53 PM

I would be too, Bob. I suspect they grabbed the lowest number from an all-poll sweep, or being academics, they worked with what was handy in the library. Clinton's low spot was shortly after the burning of the Branch Davidian compound when the "100 days" were expiring, empty. Monica didn't even compare. Indeed, his high spots were the week he denied "having sexual relations with that woman" and the week he bombed Iraq.

I don't place all that much faith in polls to begin with (having written them) but they are fun to play with.

Posted by: Tully at November 17, 2005 08:27 PM

We've got plenty of oil wells and refineries here, too, Tully. Some of the largest in the country, in fact. But it's still $2.35 today. I heard elsewhere in the state it's a lot cheaper. Some of the price may be due to the vastly increased demand in Baton Rouge from the displaced population.

Posted by: PatHMV at November 17, 2005 09:43 PM

I'll bet you're dead on target there, Pat. If local demand is even marginally greater than the local infrastructure is set up for, prices go up disproportionally. "Elasticity of demand > 1."

Posted by: Tully at November 17, 2005 09:58 PM

Now Tully, you know supply and demand have absolutely nothing to do with gas prices! **Sarcastic tone**

Pat, that's about what we are paying here in Florida and I consider it pretty cheap. We were paying about $3.15 after the storms hit, so $2.35 is looking pretty good to me. And, yes, the local media is still talking about high gas prices--even those these prices are slightly lower than what we saw during the summer, even before the storms hit.

Posted by: AR at November 18, 2005 03:41 PM
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