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August 22, 2005

Putting Your Money Where Your Mouth Is

Climate change sceptics bet $10,000 on cooler world: Russian pair challenge UK expert over global warming

Two climate change sceptics, who believe the dangers of global warming are overstated, have put their money where their mouth is and bet $10,000 that the planet will cool over the next decade.

The Russian solar physicists Galina Mashnich and Vladimir Bashkirtsev have agreed the wager with a British climate expert, James Annan.

The pair, based in Irkutsk, at the Institute of Solar-Terrestrial Physics, believe that global temperatures are driven more by changes in the sun's activity than by the emission of greenhouse gases. They say the Earth warms and cools in response to changes in the number and size of sunspots. Most mainstream scientists dismiss the idea, but as the sun is expected to enter a less active phase over the next few decades the Russian duo are confident they will see a drop in global temperatures.

I dunno who's right. I have doubts that we'll see a decline, just as I have doubts that any rise will be on the scale that some predict. I'm not posting this because I have a dog in the fight, I'm posting it because I like it when people making predictions are willing to put some money on the outcome. There are few things I enjoy more than giving someone talking out their butt the old "I'll bet you $100 you're wrong" and then enjoying the retreat to safer more qualified ground.

Posted by Brian Keegan at August 22, 2005 12:53 PM
Comments

I am going to side with the commies on this one. It dropped into the 40s last night and suppose to do the same thing tonight. I am in Wisconsin, in Mid August. It sould still be in the 60s to 70 at night here. Infact this whole week is suppose to be far below average.

I thought sceptics had a "k" in it.

Posted by: Norman at August 22, 2005 04:15 PM

It's from the Guardian, so it must be a British spelling.

Yeah, come to think of it, it was cooler than usual here last night too. Since we know that two occurences indicates a srong trend, those Russians MUST be right. :+)

Posted by: bk at August 23, 2005 09:17 AM
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