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July 24, 2005

Potts Rising

I just got an email from Jeremy (Charging RINO) that contained some really good news. A Mason Dixon poll released last night has the maverick Republican State Senator, and Independent candidate for Governor Russ Potts, at 9%. This is a four 4 to 5% increase from the last polls that were released.

Yes, 9% still represents a long way to go, but I think this will at least take some air out of the argument, from the Republican nominee, that Senator Potts is not valid enough to be included in the debates, especially in a three way race that could be won by the candidate who reaches 36%. Furthermore, an increase of 4 to 5% shows that people are starting to tune into the Potts candidacy, and more and more are relating to his message.

The good news is that it is still early, if Potts can get that number up above 10%, or closer to 15% by Labor Day, than a Jesse Ventura/Lowell Weicker type upset is not out of the question. Stay tuned, a radical centrist may be making history in the Commonwealth of Virginia.

Here is Jeremy's excellent take on the latest poll.

Go here to email Jerry Kilgore's staff and let them know that someone who wants to be Governor should have the courage to debate his opponents, and not behind closed doors in a private West Virginia club.

Posted by Mathew at July 24, 2005 11:30 AM
Comments

I'd like to know why we can't have a debate in which all three are invited and if Kilgore refuses to attend, stage it with just Kaine and Potts and let viewers know that Kilgore was invited and chose not to attend?

Posted by: Scott Smith at July 24, 2005 10:30 PM

QWell a big part of it is that debates are generally sponsored. This puts the details how the debate is conducted in the hands of the sponsors to some extend. IOW, the rule applies that freedom of the press is for whoever owns the press.

So we "can" have the debate you describe, it's just not what the sponsors want to do...Unless and until debates become an expected function funded and regulated by the government itself, we'll continue to see substantial variance from state to state and from election to election, based on the preferences of the sponsors.

Personally, for reasons of expedience, I'm not all that troubled by using polling figures as a proxy for a candidate's relevance. Many possible rules of thumb might apply. I'd say 9% is borderline, but it depends on the other candidates numbers. I'd say that I'd want every candidate in the debate to have evidence of at least 1/3 to 1/4 as much support as the candidate with the highest support level.

Posted by: bk at July 25, 2005 10:50 AM
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