A Weblog of Centrist Voices in American Politics
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A Weblog of Centrist Voices in American Politics | |
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October 31, 2004Last Minnesota PollsStarTribune: Kerry 49, Bush 41. Who is right? I don't know, but for a long time the conservatives at Powerline have been highly critical of the StarTribune poll methodology and the recent track record favors the Pioneer Press. Here are the last poll results and ultimate election results for 2000 and 2002. 2000: 2002: My only point is this -- Don't look at the StarTribune poll and assume that Minnesota is out of play. I don't think that Bush will win here, but I do think that he will get close. Posted by Todd Pearson at October 31, 2004 12:06 AMComments
[sarcasm] The Star-Trib's record of poll accuracy is even better than the LA Times'. [/sarcasm] Zogby gets talked up for his accuracy in 2000, but his 2002 Congressional polls were the overall least accurate of the bunch. I don't think the polls are going to be all that accurate as predictors on Tuesday unless they're overwhelming. The early vote is so large this time that exit polling isn't going to be as meaningful as in the past. Posted by: Tully at October 31, 2004 10:43 AMI think that the Strib polls are completely useless. I think Bush can take Minnesota. Posted by: Mark at October 31, 2004 12:32 PM |
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