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A Weblog of Centrist Voices in American Politics |
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June 24, 2004Centrism--An Effective Strategy?The parties don't change at the national level unless forced to do so by the party at the state and county level. And you change them at the county and state level by being active in them, bringing sense and moderation into them by simply outnumbering the wing nuts and/or being noisy and reasonable to such an extent that the wing nuts can't control events. Ya gotta drag 'em to the middle, kicking and screaming. That's the way it works. A century ago political involvement at the local level was much more nearly universal, and this had a natural long-term moderating effect. Nowadays the wing nuts control the parties to a large extent because moderates and centrists are, by nature, not nearly as motivated as the wing nuts. Local political participation is at an all-time low--so the wing nuts rule. This isn't an entirely academic subject to me. In my county, we fought for years to get control of the county GOP back in the hands of Main-Streeters and moderates after it was wrestled away by the fundamentalist Right. We finally managed it two years ago, and we'll be fighting them off on a perpetual basis for quite a while yet, maybe forever. Maybe they'll get it together and rally and we'll lose control this election cycle, and decide it's time to bring the local Dems back towards the middle for a while. Who knows? But it required moderates and centrists formerly associated with both parties making the common decision that reforming the local GOP was more practical and attainable than reforming the local Dems, and coordinating our efforts to actually do so. As centrist Democrats or Republicans or Independents, we're always outnumbered on either side because our forces are split, even though we're as numerous or more so than either party's core. But attempts at centrist parties perpetually fail, even though third-party candidates often decide elections by siphoning off voters from one side or the other--just ask Bush 41 or Al Gore. Third-party candidates therefore usually just hurt those they represent by drawing power away from the side they're closest to. This seems so contradictory, but it seems to be true. The effective way (in our experience here) for centrists and moderates to drag the parties back towards some common sense and away from the wing nuts is for those in the middle to give up on partisanship to unite as subversive partisans.... A coordinated centrist movement seemingly can't create a party and win elections. But a coordinated centrist movement could form an effective voting block that could greatly influence the Big Two and decide elections. Isn't it time we started working on what works? Posted by Tully at June 24, 2004 11:36 PMComments
Yes, it certainly is. The efforts you're putting in run parallel (or perhaps directly involve) what the major Republican centrist organizations are trying to do -- the Republican Main Street Partnership, the Republican Youth Majority, etc. You're right about the factors that hurt you -- and all of us, really -- the decline in participation that tends to leave the field to the folks at the passionate extremes. It's a question, ultimately, of figuring out how to motivate people. If moderates don't care as much as liberals and conservatives, or if they don't try as hard, we will perpetually lose. I have a basic sense, honestly, that there's a lot we could accomplish. I look around my neighborhood, my workplace, the folks I've known over the years, and it just seems like there are a lot of people with balanced, common-sense views on stuff who I suspect would be willing to participate, if asked. It seems like there's a "middle" out here -- an immense reservoir of talent -- that could be nudged in the direction of political participation if given a reasonable path or a meaningful context for expressing their preferences. The balanced, common-sense folks out here are also fairly civic-minded. We just have to find the right way to connect with them. Posted by: William Swann at June 25, 2004 11:01 AMOne of the problems is that it's hard to get the middle to form a cohesive group. The term "moderate" or "centrist" doesn't come with a preset definition of policy stances, while the wingnuts tend to be like-minded. That makes organization even tougher, but hopefully not impossible. Part of the problem is that the parties responded to the tumult for greater "democracy" in the sixties by going to primaries as the exclusive way of picking their nominees. Primaries place much more emphasis on attracting the party base because the less committed are not as likely to vote in a primary. Consequently, party nominees represent the more extreme base of the party rather than the moderate center. This has another effect as well-it makes it much more likely that only the truly committed and idelogically driven people will work in political campaigns, especially for president. You are talking about an immense committment in time because, with primaries, the process takes one to two years. That's why you see so many college students working in these campaigns--they have the time and, being younger, tend to be more partisan. You can certainly feel strongly about centrist positions, but, let's face it, it is hard to get peoplet to coalesce around the center. Partisanship is a much easier force to mobilize than moderation, especially given the effort necessary to elect someone. It used to be that the party structures provided a vetting process to insure that more moderate candidates emerged from the process, but they don't play this role anymore because of the growth of "personal" campaigns in which the candidate relies more on a sort of cult of personality (e.g., Howard Dean) than on the party organization. Posted by: MWS at June 25, 2004 11:35 AMAll very good points, MWS. I wonder if the energy of youth, and the time commitment, might be effectively replaced by the greater "maturity", you might say, of the moderate/centrist segment of the electorate. We're older, we've done a bit more, and we're a bit more confident in terms of our careers and our direction in life. That also makes us busier, with families and jobs and such. But the people I know who have those qualities are also exceptionally effective in the things they try to do. They use their time wisely and know how to work smart instead of hard. They're down-to-earth, practical people who focus on accomplishing things rather than making a lot of effort. I think there's a certain segment of folks who are successful in the business world, but turned off by the cultural divisiveness of some on the right. They're optimistic, favorable to a free market, but their optimism extense to a sense of us all getting along and working together. That's what they strive for every day ... so they end up with an intuitive sense of inclusiveness. Those people -- if they connected with one another -- could succeed mightily in politics. Posted by: William Swann at June 25, 2004 12:21 PMWhere are you from Tully and how does it skew the party toward the right. I've given some thought about joining the local GOP in the Madison, WI area but have been hesitant. I consider myself a common sense moderate libertarian which would present problems on quite a few social issues w/in the the GOP, although Madison area Republicans tend to be socially tolerant. I'm assuming I should just take the plunge and join just to test the waters. Any suggestions? Before last goodbye, will state once again probably with no one returning to read: You must attack two things: spending and control freaks over your lives by either side (ultraliberal or right corp greedy & the ideologues). I TELL YOU, ATTACKING FROM A NON-PARTISAN TAXPAYER APPROACH HAS GREAT POTENTIAL. By the way, I was correct when stated much earlier: 2/3 of voters = center + @ 2 Standard Deviations L & R. I have found Liberals are just as Nazilike as right winger ideologues. Besides,they took over your Institutions disguised as intellectuals, univ. profs.(like if you can read and apply or use a computer module, you don't need me or admin. or my costs to you),or other professional type control freaks over our lives(their monopolies and control competition, and like we're not supposed to know anything or do anything for ourselves for half the fees. I can give example after example. From School Boards socialistic practices, to the legal system, to medicine, and insurance execs profiteering (recent ex. $60M extra going to execs in merging two CA health plans). MUST GET THE ELITIST-SOCIALISTS AND IDEOLOGUES (of CORP GREED & RELIGION) CONTROL OVER SPENDING YOUR HARD EARNED TAX DOLLARS AND CONTROL FREAKS OVER YOUR LIVES. My e-mail is on record with those running the site. Adrian, I'm in Kansas. As for what your local GOP party is like, the only way to find out is ask around and maybe go to some meetings. Or watch what the candidates they send to elections are like--also a good indicator. If they send moderates, tey're moderate. If they send Bible-thumping hard-core Religious Right...we'' then you still have your answer. Same applies to your local Dems. Check out a few meetings, talk to some people, and watch what kind of candidates they offer. Posted by: Tully at June 27, 2004 06:29 PM |
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