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January 26, 2004

Edwards Worries Republican Strategists

An article in today's Washington Post suggests that Republican strategists see Edwards as the toughest potential opponent.

Now, they could be blowing smoke, as strategists do. Could be that I'm just a sucker for this message, given that I make the very same arguments.

Here's a few paragraphs:

These Republicans said they worry most about Edwards, because he is so little known and has such a comparatively short public record. That combination would give him the easiest time morphing into whatever his campaign decides that swing voters want. "Personally, I'm the most concerned about Edwards, because he has a huge attractiveness to him," a senior Republican official said. "The only negative is the lack of experience."

Another Republican official who is worried about facing Edwards called him "Clinton without the scandal -- John Kennedy, from the South."

"He's the most appealing of the candidates, and hardest to typify as a hard-core liberal," this official said. "Edwards is seen as a problem. Everybody in Massachusetts hates Kerry. Everybody in the Democratic Party hates Dean. Everyone in the military hates Clark. But nobody hates Edwards."

Clark's image is one of "confusion," a senior GOP official said, but acknowledged his military credentials would make it harder for Bush to draw an obvious contrast.

These Republicans said they think that Kerry would be harder to run against than Dean, but easier than Edwards, with Clark in the middle. "Running against a Massachusetts liberal can't be a bad thing for a Republican," the official said. "Dean would be fun, but Kerry's pretty good, too."

Posted by William Swann at January 26, 2004 05:09 PM
Comments

No statistics here, but my centrist instincts have been pretty good over the last decade. If Kerry is the Democratic candidate, I don't think he'll be as easy to beat as the last Massachusetts Democrat, Mike Dukakis. Kerry's a liberal, but not a wimpy liberal. Kerry actually killed VietCong. He wasn't doing press releases in Saigon like Gore.

He's a bit of a flip-flopper, but I don't think that will be fatal. Bush is so bull-headed that we may want someone more flexible. David Brooks details Kerry's abortive move toward the center in the 1990's. If he is the candidate, I hope he can dig up some of those old briefing papers. He won't win the South, but he can pick up some border states.

Posted by: rickheller at January 26, 2004 06:03 PM

The problem with Kerry is he talks big, but doesn't have much to back it up. He is the Thomas Jefferson of the Democratic primary... great thinker, but not much of a doer. I think the New York Times is right... Kerry could be great if he wanted to be. His problem is that he always comes back to typical Democratic establisment positions. I think if he is the nominee he could prove that he is who he says he is by picking someone like Harold Ford as a running mate.

Posted by: Mathew Pruitt at January 27, 2004 09:24 AM

I agree that John Edwards is the scariest Democrat running if you are George W. Bush.

Posted by: Mathew Pruitt at January 27, 2004 09:26 AM
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