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A Weblog of Centrist Voices in American Politics |
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October 27, 2003In Search of a Credible Wartime LeaderI've been pretty critical of the president here, in this space, and more generally in all the snippy little comments I make about his Iraq policies or his approach to foreign policy in general. What happens, though, when others, from the opposite side of the aisle, start offering plans of their own? A bunch of leading Democrats have been forced to offer specific and comprehensive proposals on Iraq. You can't run for president in the middle of a war without a plan. And each candidate is having to respond to specific events and choices made in the course of this war. Which makes it all very interesting. It seems an especially effective measure of the strength and integrity of these candidates. Responding to wartime events -- expressing an opinion regarding choices that are made which will affect the lives of our young men and women in uniform -- is a pretty decent test of the kind of leader you will become. I was impressed, in the period immediately following the combat phase of the war, with the level of commitment this field brought to the rebuilding effort. All the major candidates seemed to understand that opposing the war did not translate into opposing the rebuilding effort. Defeating and removing a regime gives you all the basic responsibilities for security and reconstruction. If you broke it, you bought it. The strongest anti-war candidates, like Dean, were posting detailed reconstruction plans to their websites and talking about our "sacred trust" in Iraq and our commitment to see it through. In hindsight, though, there's a whiff of politics here. Talking about our commitment level is one way of saying "look what the president has gotten us into". It's also a way of pointing out how undercommitted the administration was -- how inadequate our troop levels were and how unprepared we were for the immediate postwar environment. Howard Dean advocated strongly -- passionately -- for sending more troops to Iraq. Remember that? There seems quite a contrast between these early views and the recent vogue of minimizing our involvement. For example, the decision by 7 of these 9 candidates to oppose the president's $87 billion reconstruction package. Yes, it's a lot of money, and yes, the president is playing politics with this request -- asking for a lot now in an effort to avoid having to ask for more next year, in the heat of the election. You can make other arguments regarding this $87 billion. And the Democrats do -- they did last night in the debate. Suppose you oppose the plan as leverage -- as a way of forcing the president to choose a more reasonable policy in Iraq? Aren't you doing the right thing for your country then? Not likely. The real-world consequences of defeating the president's reconstruction funds are quite different. It would lead, most likely, to a further alienation with the international community -- fewer countries supporting us in the recent UN vote, less reconstruction money at the donor conference, and a sudden deepening of worldwide skepticism regarding our commitment to Iraq. Beating Bush out of his $87 billion is not likely to lead to an international renaissance on Iraq -- bringing us together in a new era of shared responsibility. If that's the Democratic vision on Iraq (and it is), they chose a grossly inadequate tool. In fact, they took a big step in the other direction. I'm not inclined to credit the 7 of 9 Democrats who took this position with any sort of reasonable policy on Iraq. They're doing something politically viable. It gets applause lines all night long, and fits quite nicely with recent public opinion polls showing opposition to the $87 billion reconstruction package. It's politically attractive, but not good for the country. Which makes it a nice test of a candidate's judgment, strength, and willingness to lead. Posted by William Swann at October 27, 2003 10:18 AMComments
So, to put it in slightly more succinct terms: The commitment has been made on Iraq's reconstruction, for better or worse. Now we have to see it through, for better or worse, and $87 billion is the pricetag (for this year). Posted by: RoQ at October 27, 2003 03:52 PMIt's hard to speak in front of a hostile crowd and tell them what they don't want to hear. It may be even harder to go in front of a friendly crowd and tell them what they don't want to hear. In the former case, the experience is unpleasant, but you sacrifice nothing. In the latter case, you lose points with people who want to support you. There's a strong gradient that pushes candidates to tell people want they want to hear. Posted by: rickheller at October 27, 2003 04:00 PMYeah. It's all part of that basic atmosphere where everything Bush does is wrong ... and where everything he does on the war is absolutely 100% wrong. It's an example of why anger doesn't make good policy. It's also a significant political misjudgment. Dean would lose something by favoring the $87 billion. A few would peel off to support Kucinich. But he wouldn't lose much. Edwards and Kerry would lose less, I think, because supporting the reconstruction package is a less dramatic step than their earlier votes authorizing the war. It's pretty hard to argue for the "big" vote but against the later one sending resources over to back up what you did with your earlier vote. It didn't turn out to be hard (nor did it sound discordant) for Gephardt to say that he supports the $87 billion because he feels compelled to support the troops. It's an obvious point, and a compelling one. I have this sense that those who didn't make that judgment may be going into the general election with a hand tied behind their backs. Bush doesn't have to focus on their lack of support for the war (which could be a positive). He can focus on why they won't send resources over there to back up our guys. Dean was asked that question specifically last night, and chose not to address it. He went into a litany of the ways in which Bush has failed to support the troops. He didn't explain why his choice -- failing to send money -- is ultimately helpful to our soldiers. These guys were lulled by opinion polls showing a lack of support for the president's package. They're in a rhetorical bind once the real debate starts. It's so much more natural -- obvious -- to say you disagree with the decision to go to war, but support the boys now that they're over there. Posted by: William Swann at October 27, 2003 04:50 PMBush chose this war fully realizing ( I hope) the great risks involved. As we are in unchartered territory in the reconstruction of Iraq, we are bound to make many mistakes. Maybe GWB should have taken all this into account. But now that we are there, we have to see this through; the potential consequences of pulling out are just too horrific. Posted by: tallan at October 28, 2003 07:44 PM |
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