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September 30, 2003

Recall

On the surface of it the California recall is the exercise of a direct popular power to limit abuse by elected officials, but the devil is, in fact, in the details:

The Washington Post speculates on which direction the recall is breaking

And the numbers come out the same - Davis might be more popular that the man who replaces him. Some how, while the idea of being able to recall an official who has failed to do the job, the result is that Davis could get 49% of the vote and be sent home to be replaced by someone who gets as little as 30%.

In a larger sense, the whole affair shows why mass media based politics is fundamentally flawed. Davis reached the governor's mansion by using negative ads against the stronger of his two challengers, and his likely successor is known for making films, not policy. Davis has garnered some of his unpopularity by running to what might be called the "middle" on specific issues, but on that most important of centrist issues - competence - he has been a failure.

What is urgently needed is some better means of finding and promoting the best people to office, or, we will be stuck with devil's choices between an experienced politician who has no mandate, and seemingly no ability to handle the pressures of governing - and an individual who could seriously say he won't propose a solution because he has no idea what the problem is.

While, superficially, both candidates appeal to the center - Schwarzenhagger is openly a social liberal to moderate in his positions, while Davis is certainly no one's idea of a liberal on almost any issue - both are lacking. It seems likely that Davis is to be sent home, but is this really a victory for a more accountable politics?

What the recall is, more than anything else, is a clear indication that "business as usual" politics is breaking down, and the public is searching for solutions, even those which entail a great deal of risk. This is an opportunity: with the partisanized and polarized forms of politics breaking down, the chance to appeal to the idea that the center is where sane, stable and strong government resides is being given a moment to shine.

Or we can look forward to the spectacle of Sheen running to oust Schwarzenhagger somewhere in the near future.

Posted by at September 30, 2003 04:25 PM
Comments

Overall, I am a fan of Hiram Johnson's reforms of introducing initiative and referendum. It allows the public to have a say when an interest group captures the elites of both parties.

Yes, there is something unsavory in having a recall election so soon after a general election. I would not have signed the petition to hold the election. But given that it is happening, I wouldn't stand on ceremony and vote no to the recall.

Detailed knowledge of government didn't make Davis a success. He's been around Sacremento a long time--he used to sign my paychecks when I worked for the State of California in the 80's.

Arnold's lack of detailed knowledge does not preclude success. He may have the charisma and bully pulpit to make successful reforms. I would vote to give Arnold a chance.

Posted by: rickheller at September 30, 2003 09:24 PM

I suppose my two points were that the recall structure doesn't work as it stands - and that the choice is between two individuals who have manifest deficits as people who would be governor. Davis simply has not been up to the task of leading California - Schwarzenhagger has offered no reason to believe that he is up to the task of governing California.

I'd like to say this is a choice between the unpalatable and the disasterous - but I am not sure we have enough data to know which is which.

Posted by: Stirling Newberry at October 1, 2003 11:38 AM

Part of the reason California politics is so crazy is that the state is too big. Imagine an East Coast state running from Boston to Richmond. It forces media campaigns rather than retail politics. I don't see how that will ever change.

Posted by: rickheller at October 1, 2003 03:05 PM

Not the first time I've heard that - or thought it either. California was made one state, of course, to keep the balance in the antebellum senate. Think of it as backwards compatibility to the era of the Whig party.

Posted by: Stirling Newberry at October 1, 2003 03:08 PM
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